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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Plymouth Argyle

Coventry
4 - 0
Plymouth

Sakamoto (5'), Eccles (20', 45'), Mason-Clark (39')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Szucs (85')
Wright (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 10.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
73.13% (0.26700000000001 0.27)16.48% (-0.31 -0.31)10.38% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.54% (1.305 1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (1.609 1.61)38.25% (-1.615 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (1.689 1.69)60.52% (-1.694 -1.69)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.93% (0.468 0.47)9.06% (-0.4739 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.17% (1.117 1.12)30.83% (-1.123 -1.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.48% (1.157 1.16)45.52% (-1.163 -1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.65% (0.894 0.89)81.34% (-0.899 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 73.13%
    Plymouth Argyle 10.38%
    Draw 16.48%
Coventry CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 11.89% (-0.4 -0.4)
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.554 -0.55)
3-0 @ 9.52% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.49% (0.153 0.15)
4-0 @ 5.71% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.152 0.15)
5-0 @ 2.74% (0.083 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.16% (0.132 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.127 0.13)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 73.13%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 3.68% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 16.48%
0-1 @ 3.25% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-2 @ 3.07% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 10.38%

How you voted: Coventry vs Plymouth

Coventry City
71.1%
Draw
5.3%
Plymouth Argyle
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Plymouth
2-2
Coventry
Whittaker (54'), Miller (68')
Randell (18')
Simms (65'), Kitching (90+6')
Simms (63'), Latibeaudiere (75'), Thomas (84')
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Coventry
1-0
Plymouth
Wright (75')
Bidwell (90+3')

Cooper (76'), Houghton (76'), Gibson (83')
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 29
Plymouth
2-1
Coventry
Lameiras (63', 70')
Sarcevic (35'), Songo'o (47'), Smith-Brown (54')
Chaplin (55')
Mason (43')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Coventry
1-0
Plymouth
Bakayoko (43' pen.)

Ness (44'), Carey (44'), Taylor (84')
Ness (58')
Nov 12, 2014 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Coventry
2-0
Plymouth
Madine (61'), Nouble (85')
Maddison (26'), Barton (84'), Webster (93')
rhs 2.0


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