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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 73.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.91%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 73.13% ( | 16.48% ( | 10.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.75% ( | 38.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.47% ( | 60.52% ( |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.93% ( | 9.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.17% ( | 30.83% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.48% ( | 45.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.65% ( | 81.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 2-0 @ 11.89% ( 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 3-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 4-0 @ 5.71% ( 4-1 @ 4.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 5-0 @ 2.74% ( 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 6-0 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 4.05% Total : 73.13% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 2-2 @ 3.68% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 16.48% | 0-1 @ 3.25% ( 1-2 @ 3.07% ( 0-2 @ 1.28% ( 2-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 10.38% |