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Championship | Gameweek 26
Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
2 - 1
Coventry

Forson (90+1', 90+5')
Marcondes (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van Ewijk (24')
Sheaf (34'), Eccles (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 0-1 Norwich
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Coventry
Wednesday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
45.93% (1.299 1.3)24.49% (-0.272 -0.27)29.59% (-1.022 -1.02)
Both teams to score 57.15% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.59% (0.703 0.7)45.42% (-0.698 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.25% (0.667 0.67)67.75% (-0.66199999999999 -0.66)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.12% (0.85299999999999 0.85)19.88% (-0.848 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48% (1.357 1.36)52% (-1.352 -1.35)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.34% (-0.339 -0.34)28.67% (0.344 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.52% (-0.429 -0.43)64.48% (0.434 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.93%
    Coventry City 29.59%
    Draw 24.48%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.121 0.12)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 5% (0.193 0.19)
3-0 @ 4% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.091 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.128 0.13)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.117 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 45.93%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.7% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.45% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 29.59%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Coventry City
6.9%
58
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 4
Coventry
0-1
Norwich

Latibeaudiere (45+2'), Binks (64'), Bassette (70'), Eccles (82')
Sainz (50')
Sainz (64'), Ben Slimane (90+2'), Gunn (90+3')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Norwich
2-1
Coventry
Sargent (60'), Sainz (84')
Nunez (22'), McLean (45')
O'Hare (48')
Kitching (36'), Thomas (90+7')
Kitching (71')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Coventry
1-1
Norwich
Gibson (88' og.)
Ayari (90+1')
Rowe (40')
Rowe (74')
Jan 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Coventry
2-4
Norwich
Allen (20'), Palmer (26')
Rose (6' og.), Hernandez (10'), Sargent (18'), Dowell (65')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
3-0
Coventry
Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
rhs 2.0


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