/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnorlog.png)
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Zack Nelson
38'
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Marcelino Nunez
73'
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Callum Doyle
89'
Luton Town vs Norwich City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F37%2Frob-edwards.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 45.82%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result
Luton Town
45.82%
▲
(+0.53)
Draw
25.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Norwich City
28.91%
▼
(-0.51)
Both Teams to Score:
54.1%
▼
(-0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.78%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
49.22%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
28.72%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
71.28%
▲
(+0.19)
Over 4.5
13.8%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 4.5
86.2%
▲
(+0.13)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
78.51%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
21.49%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
45.47%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
54.53%
▼
(-0.24)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5
68.91%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 0.5
31.09%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 1.5
32.59%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 1.5
67.41%
▲
(+0.56)
Score analysis
Luton Town
45.81%
Draw
25.28%
Norwich City
28.9%
Luton Town
1-0
@
10.27%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.81%
2-1 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.76% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.81%
Draw
1-1
@
12%
0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-0 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
Norwich City
0-1
@
7.81%
▼
(-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.9%
1-2 @ 7.01% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.9%