Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.