Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
2 - 1
Millwall

Marcondes (4'), Schwartau (39')
Ben Slimane (62'), Schwartau (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Esse (65')
Leonard (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Norwich City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Millwall
45.12% ( -0.35)	25.89% ( -0.13)	28.99% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.31% (

0.78)

51.69% (

-0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.53% (

0.68)

73.46% (

-0.68)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

0.17)

22.84% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

0.25)

56.57% (

-0.25)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

0.78)

32.31% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19% (

0.87)

68.81% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 45.12%

Millwall 28.99%

Draw 25.88%

Norwich City	Draw	Millwall
1-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.09% Total : 45.12%	1-1 @ 12.31% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.65% Total : 28.99%