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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Millwall logo

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
Millwall

Latte Lath (10')
Latte Lath (37'), Dijksteel (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tanganga (54'), Mitchell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Sheff Utd
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
48.95% (0.019000000000005 0.02)26.21% (0.016999999999999 0.02)24.83% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.11% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)55.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31% (-0.058 -0.06)76.69% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.28% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)22.72% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.61% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)56.39% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.25% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)37.76% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.47% (-0.067 -0.07)74.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 48.95%
    Millwall 24.83%
    Draw 26.21%
MiddlesbroughDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.42% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.72%
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 48.95%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 8.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 24.83%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Millwall

Middlesbrough
76.3%
Draw
21.1%
Millwall
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Millwall
1-3
Middlesbrough
Bryan (10')
Honeyman (45+4'), Longman (51'), Bryan (80')
Engel (38'), Jones (58'), Forss (90+5')
Engel (66')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Middlesbrough
0-1
Millwall

Howson (80')
Esse (79')
Bryan (25'), Nisbet (46'), Cooper (80')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Millwall
2-0
Middlesbrough
Flemming (5', 49')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Millwall
0-0
Middlesbrough
Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
Jones (19')
rhs 2.0


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