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Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Den
Middlesbrough logo

Millwall
0 - 0
Middlesbrough


Cooper (4'), Ballard (16'), Malone (19'), Wallace (34')
FT

Jones (19')

Preview: Millwall vs. Middlesbrough - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall play host to Middlesbrough on Saturday afternoon trailing their next opponents by just two points in the Championship standings.

The two clubs occupy ninth and eighth place respectively, and defeat for either team would leave them as clear outsiders to earn a playoff spot at the end of the season.


Match preview

Middlesbrough manager Chris Wilder during the match on March 1, 2022© Reuters

Soon after his arrival, Chris Wilder guided Middlesbrough on a run of six wins from seven games, putting the club right in the mix for a place in the playoffs.

However, Boro have failed to post successive wins since the turn of the year, with four defeats in nine matches leaving the North-East outfit outside of the top six.

With 11 matches remaining, the situation can be quickly rectified, but Middlesbrough have looked a shadow of their former selves, particularly away from home where nine goals have been conceded during three defeats in a row.

Wilder watched his former club Sheffield United blow Boro away earlier this week, the Blades prevailing by a 4-1 scoreline, and there are signs that minimal squad rotation is starting to take its toll.

Although Boro have the strength-in-depth to turn things around, Saturday's trip to East London could prove pivotal with the club now only four points ahead of 11th-placed Preston North End.

Millwall manager Gary Rowett on March 8, 2022© Reuters

As far as Millwall are concerned, they are one of only two teams - the other being Huddersfield Town - to come through their last six games without suffering a defeat.

Five successive victories were recorded during that run, the only blot on their copybook being a respectable goalless draw at Blackburn Rovers earlier this week.

Despite dropping points at Ewood Park, Gary Rowett will remain positive about their ongoing run of form, aware that none of their rivals will fancy playing his team in the current moment.

Despite scoring just eight times in six matches, only two strikes have been conceded, both of which have come in the 88th minute and beyond having held a 2-0 advantage on each occasion.

Millwall also head into this fixture with the second-best defensive record at home, shipping just 13 goals in 17 fixtures.

Millwall Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Middlesbrough Championship form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Middlesbrough form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Middlesbrough's Paddy McNair celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 5, 2022© Reuters

With Daniel Ballard having sustained a groin injury against Blackburn, Alex Pearce is expected to come into the Millwall XI.

George Evans is an option if Rowett wishes to introduce fresh legs, while Mason Bennett may get the nod over Tyler Burey in attack.

Middlesbrough boss Wilder will hope to have Anfernee Dijksteel available after the defender missed the Sheffield United defeat through illness.

Neil Taylor should return at left wing-back, taking the spot of Marc Bola, while Folarin Balogun is in line to return in attack.

Riley McGree may be fit enough to take a place on the substitutes' bench, but he is unlikely to be risked in midfield from the start.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Pearce, Cooper, Wallace; McNamara, Mitchell, Saville, Malone; Wallace; Afobe, Bennett

Middlesbrough possible starting lineup:
Lumley; Dijksteel, Fry, McNair; Jones, Crooks, Howson, Tavernier, Taylor; Balogun, Sporar


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-1 Middlesbrough

Given the respective form of the two clubs, you have to make Millwall favourites to prevail from this contest. However, Boro have reached a point where they need to rediscover some consistency, and that desire may be enough to earn a share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Millwall vs Middlesbrough

Millwall
44.1%
Draw
36.8%
Middlesbrough
19.1%
68
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Millwall manager Gary Rowett
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Bristol City216962626027
11Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
18Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
19Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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