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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Norwich logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Norwich

Solomon (1'), James (65')
Tanaka (8'), Byram (13'), Rothwell (71'), Piroe (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fisher (4'), Dobbin (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Sheff Weds
Sunday, January 19 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 2-0 Norwich
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 71.78%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 10.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Norwich City win it was 0-1 (3.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
71.78% (-0.797 -0.8)17.57% (0.537 0.54)10.65% (0.262 0.26)
Both teams to score 46.61% (-0.921 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-1.729 -1.73)42.61% (1.73 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.99% (-1.743 -1.74)65.01% (1.745 1.75)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.47% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)10.53% (0.658 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.77% (-1.498 -1.5)34.22% (1.5 1.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.09% (-0.641 -0.64)47.91% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.84% (-0.474 -0.47)83.16% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 71.77%
    Norwich City 10.65%
    Draw 17.57%
Leeds UnitedDrawNorwich City
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.55 0.55)
3-0 @ 9.59% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.06% (-0.177 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.4% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.97% (-0.217 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.158 -0.16)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.152 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.108 -0.11)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 71.77%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.259 0.26)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.378 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.46% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.57%
0-1 @ 3.71% (0.215 0.22)
1-2 @ 3.08% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.37% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 10.65%

How you voted: Leeds vs Norwich

Leeds United
89.4%
Draw
5.3%
Norwich City
5.3%
94
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Norwich
1-1
Leeds
Sargent (15' pen.)
Struijk (8'), Doyle (38'), Bogle (47')
Ramazani (60')
Farke (9'), Rothwell (23'), Sargent (30'), Gnonto (66')
May 16, 2024 8pm
Leeds
4-0
Norwich
Gruev (7'), Piroe (20'), Rutter (40'), Summerville (68')
Gruev (54'), Rutter (56')

Rowe (37'), McLean (90+1')
May 12, 2024 12pm
Norwich
0-0
Leeds
Duffy (51'), Giannoulis (54'), Fassnacht (66')
Gnonto (45+1')
Jan 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
1-0
Norwich
Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Norwich
2-3
Leeds
Duffy (4'), Sara (43')
Duffy (10'), Sara (34')
Duffy (63' og.), Summerville (77', 85')
Summerville (19'), Rodon (45+1'), Meslier (87')
rhs 2.0


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