Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 84.96%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 4.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.09%) and 4-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (1.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.