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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 48.95% ( | 26.29% ( | 24.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.16% ( | 55.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% ( | 76.96% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.14% ( | 22.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.41% ( | 56.59% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62% ( | 38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.23% ( | 74.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.82% ( 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 3-1 @ 4.5% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 4-1 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 12.4% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 1-2 @ 6% ( 0-2 @ 4.07% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 24.76% |