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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 37.16% ( | 25.78% ( | 37.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.83% ( | 49.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.76% ( | 71.24% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( | 25.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( | 60.75% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( | 25.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.18% ( | 60.82% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.07% |