Carlisle United vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.