League Two

League Two | Gameweek 20

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
0 - 2
Chesterfield

Vela (32'), Kelly (52'), Hayden (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Markanday (25'), Grigg (75')
Grimes (52'), Banks (73')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Chesterfield

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wigan
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Chesterfield
28.85% ( -0.01)	24.46%	46.69% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

0.01)

45.68% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

0.01)

68% (

-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

29.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

65.28% (

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.01)

19.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.01)

51.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 28.85%

Chesterfield 46.69%

Draw 24.45%

Carlisle United	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 28.85%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.69%