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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 61.31% ( | 20.77% ( | 17.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( | 41.06% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( | 63.45% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( | 12.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.64% ( | 39.35% ( |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( | 36.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( | 73.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 3-0 @ 6.72% ( 4-1 @ 3.47% ( 4-0 @ 3.44% ( 3-2 @ 3.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 5-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.44% Total : 61.31% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0-2 @ 2.4% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 1-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.91% |