Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 17.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.