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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 33.28% ( | 24.02% ( | 42.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( | 41.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.89% ( | 64.11% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% ( | 24.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.03% ( | 58.97% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( | 19.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( | 51.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 1-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0-4 @ 1.4% ( 2-4 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 42.69% |