Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Wigan Athletic
49.31% ( -0.02)	25.54% ( 0.01)	25.15% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 50.34% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.26% (

-0.02)

52.74% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.63% (

-0.02)

74.37% (

0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

-0.02)

21.41% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59% (

-0.02)

54.4% (

0.02)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.05%

35.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.27%

72.73%

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 49.31%

Wigan Athletic 25.15%

Draw 25.54%

Chesterfield	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 49.31%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.15%