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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barrow | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 46.75% ( | 25.69% ( | 27.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.89% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( | 51.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( | 73.45% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( | 22.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.54% ( | 55.45% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.61% ( | 33.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% ( | 70.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barrow | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 3-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0-0 @ 7.38% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.56% |