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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 28.77% ( | 26.39% ( | 44.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.2% ( | 53.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.73% ( | 75.27% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.42% ( | 33.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.78% ( | 70.22% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.1% ( | 23.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.89% ( | 58.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 3-0 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 28.77% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0-0 @ 8.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.9% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0-3 @ 3.92% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.83% |