/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
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Harry Smith
8'
-
Harry Smith
29'
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Ollie Clarke
40'
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Harry Smith
58'
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Danny Mayor
33'
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Charlie Adam
34'
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Ryan Broom
44'
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Matty Virtue
67'
Swindon Town vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.
Result
Swindon Town
46.43%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.73%
▲
(+0.03)
Fleetwood Town
28.84%
▼
(-0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
55.87%
▼
(-0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.11%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 2.5
46.88%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 3.5
30.86%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 3.5
69.14%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 4.5
15.27%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
84.73%
▲
(+0.10)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
79.73%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
20.26%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
47.39%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
52.61%
▲
(+0.10)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
70.06%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
29.93%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
33.96%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
66.04%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Swindon Town
46.43%
Draw
24.72%
Fleetwood Town
28.84%
Swindon Town
1-0
@
9.68%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.43%
2-1 @ 9.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.43%
Draw
1-1
@
11.67%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.72%
0-0 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.72%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
7.32%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.84%
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.84%