Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Fleetwood Town

Swindon
3 - 1
Fleetwood

Smith (8', 29', 58')
Clarke (40')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Virtue (67')
Mayor (33'), Adam (34'), Broom (44')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 4-0 Swindon
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-4 Doncaster
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawFleetwood Town
46.43% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)24.73% (0.029999999999998 0.03)28.84% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Both teams to score 55.87% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11% (-0.141 -0.14)46.88% (0.143 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86% (-0.13 -0.13)69.14% (0.133 0.13)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.056000000000012 -0.06)20.26% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)52.61% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.06% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)29.93% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (-0.11 -0.11)66.04% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 46.43%
    Fleetwood Town 28.84%
    Draw 24.72%
Swindon TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.68% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.43%
1-1 @ 11.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.84%

Head to Head
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Fleetwood
0-2
Swindon

Finley (11'), Hill (76')
Twine (5', 60')
Twine (75')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Swindon
0-1
Fleetwood

Hope (35'), Grounds (61')
Madden (29')
Camps (57'), Connolly (82'), Duffy (90+3')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Fleetwood
0-1
Swindon

Hunter (45'), Davies (52'), Eastham (58')
Ajose (81')
Branco (44'), Thompson (70'), Ince (77')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Fleetwood
Norris (12')
Thompson (17'), Branco (74')
Ball (22')
Pond (51'), Bolger (88')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Swindon
1-1
Fleetwood
Ajose (68')
Ormonde-Ottewill (47'), Sendles-White (53'), Traore (63')
Burns (6')
Jonsson (24'), Scougall (77'), Ryan (93')