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Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Chesterfield
1 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Dobra (3')
Banks (77'), Horton (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hutchinson (17'), O'Toole (69')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawAFC Wimbledon
46.6% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)24.27% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)29.13% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.6% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.026000000000003 0.03)44.7% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (0.025000000000006 0.03)67.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (0.024999999999991 0.02)28.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.57% (0.030999999999999 0.03)64.43% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 46.6%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.13%
    Draw 24.27%
ChesterfieldDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.09% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.13%

Head to Head
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
AFC Wimbledon
0-2
Chesterfield
Dobra (44'), King (76')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Sep 3, 2016 3pm
Mar 11, 2014 7.45pm
Sep 14, 2013 3pm