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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 46.6% ( | 24.27% ( | 29.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( | 44.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( | 67.06% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.69% ( | 19.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.93% ( | 51.07% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( | 28.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.57% ( | 64.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 4-2 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0-1 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.13% |