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Championship header 2

League Two

AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Doncaster Rovers

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 0
Doncaster

Stevens (27', 27')
Hutchinson (8'), Hutchinson (8'), Kelly (57'), Kelly (57'), Bugiel (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bailey (66'), McGrath (76'), Sharp (80'), Senior (88'), Clifton (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Doncaster Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Doncaster Rovers

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawDoncaster Rovers
33.98% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)26.08% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)39.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (0.039000000000001 0.04)50.78% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)72.67% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)28.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)64.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.97% (0.040000000000006 0.04)25.02% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.31% (0.056999999999995 0.06)59.69% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 33.98%
    Doncaster Rovers 39.94%
    Draw 26.07%
AFC WimbledonDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.98%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.94%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Doncaster
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Adelakun (3')

Ogundere (28'), Little (46'), Tilley (55')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Doncaster
Al-Hamadi (45+2', 63')
Bugiel (23'), Lemonheigh-Evans (27'), Little (39'), Biler (56'), Bass (90+7')
Biler (72'), Bugiel (90+5')

Westbrooke (41'), Senior (45')
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 36
Doncaster
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Biggins (27'), Miller (32')
Davison (18')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Doncaster
Young-Coombes (76', 84')
Maghoma (69'), Davison (86')
Rowe (86'), Williams (90+4')
Clayton (2'), Tomlin (39'), Anderson (56'), Williams (66')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
AFC Wimbledon
2-2
Doncaster
Rudoni (23'), McCormick (49')
McCormick (39'), Marsh (90+1')
Rowe (63', 66')
Olowu (22'), Gardner (54'), Smith (79')