Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Harrogate Town

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Harrogate

Khouri (55'), Svanthorsson (74')
McEachran (90+2'), Svanthorsson (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Duke-McKenna (82')
Bray (90+1'), Sutton (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Harrogate 0-2 Walsall
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Grimsby Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Grimsby Town.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
43.89% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)26.81% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)29.31% (0.122 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.62% (0.252 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.85% (0.294 0.29)55.14% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.61% (0.242 0.24)76.39% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.102 0.1)24.96% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.4% (0.14100000000001 0.14)59.6% (-0.139 -0.14)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (0.248 0.25)33.88% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (0.268 0.27)70.55% (-0.265 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.88%
    Harrogate Town 29.31%
    Draw 26.8%
Grimsby TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 11.73% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.08% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.77% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.88%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.46% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.77% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.15% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 29.31%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Harrogate

Grimsby Town
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Harrogate Town
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Thomson (49')
Abu (83')

Hume (79'), Artell (80')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Grimsby Town
1-2
Harrogate
Green (90+1')
Artell (0'), Glennon (90+3')
Foulds (41'), Odoh (72')
March (90+4')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Harrogate
3-2
Grimsby Town
Armstrong (12', 76'), Crocombe (90+1' og.)
Khan (29'), Clifton (49')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Harrogate
1-0
Grimsby Town
Beck (77')

Matete (16')