Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Grimsby Town

Swindon
3 - 1
Grimsby Town

Clarke (3'), Tshimanga (41', 60')
Cox (39'), Clarke (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rose (71' pen.)
Hume (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Swindon
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-2 Crewe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby Town
38.69% (0.166 0.17)26.24% (0.004999999999999 0)35.07% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 53.33% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.72% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)51.28% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.89% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)73.11% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08% (0.073999999999998 0.07)25.92% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (0.10100000000001 0.1)60.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.122 -0.12)28.01% (0.119 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-0.153 -0.15)63.66% (0.151 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 38.69%
    Grimsby Town 35.07%
    Draw 26.23%
Swindon TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.8% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.62% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 38.69%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 7.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.88% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.07%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Grimsby Town
2-0
Swindon
Smith (75'), Wilson (85')
Holohan (69')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Swindon
2-1
Grimsby Town
Kemp (26'), Cain (64')
Blake-Tracy (60'), Hutton (90+4')
Wilson (69')
Clifton (62'), Rodgers (90+2')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 27
Swindon
5-0
Grimsby Town
Austin (25'), Lavinier (62'), Williams (66'), Darcy (78'), Khan (88')
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Grimsby Town
1-2
Swindon
Taylor (25')
Jephcott (13'), Darcy (44')
> Preview
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Swindon
3-1
Grimsby Town
Yates (46'), Jaiyesimi (49'), Hendrie (57' og.)
Grant (3')
Hanson (59')
Clarke (66'), Driscoll-Glennon (70')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!