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Championship header 2

League Two

Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coral Windows Stadium
Swindon Town

Bradford
1 - 0
Swindon

Kavanagh (24')
Pointon (74'), Sarcevic (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Smith (7'), McGregor (68')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Bradford City and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bradford City

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-3 Bradford
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wycombe 1-2 Swindon
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawSwindon Town
51.4% (0.127 0.13)23.46% (-0.029 -0.03)25.14% (-0.103 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.99% (0.037999999999997 0.04)44% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61% (0.037999999999997 0.04)66.39% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.83% (0.061999999999998 0.06)17.16% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.58% (0.111 0.11)47.41% (-0.114 -0.11)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)31.24% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)67.59% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 51.4%
    Swindon Town 25.14%
    Draw 23.45%
Bradford CityDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.33% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.16% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.4%
1-1 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 6.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.24% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-0
Bradford
Austin (17' pen.), Devoy (45+2')
Kokolo (45+4'), Khan (58')

Alexander (46'), Stubbs (49'), Smallwood (55')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Bradford
1-0
Swindon
Pointon (50')
Walker (60'), Halliday (76'), Smallwood (89')

Khan (42'), Hutton (65'), Austin (76')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Swindon
1-0
Bradford
Williams (82')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Bradford
1-1
Swindon
Wright (31')
Jephcott (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Bradford
1-2
Swindon
Evans (18')
O'Connor (40')
McKirdy (21'), Payne (90+6' pen.)
Reed (57'), Iandolo (61'), McKirdy (64')
rhs 2.0


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