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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 36.28% ( | 26.3% ( | 37.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.5% ( | 51.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.7% ( | 73.29% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% | 27.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% | 62.86% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( | 26.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% ( | 62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 6.14% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 2-2 @ 5.34% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.41% |