MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 13:13:22| >> :120:24980:24980:
Harrogate Town
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium

Harrogate
1 - 0
Gainsborough

Cornelius (57')
Sims (52'), Falkingham (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cogill (52'), Lancaster (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Harrogate Town and Gainsborough Trinity, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Gainsborough Trinity

With both teams currently on a high, we anticipate a competitive encounter. Gainsborough will back themselves to continue their heroics in this competition, yet the extra quality and resoluteness in the Harrogate ranks may prove pivotal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 60.53%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 19.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 3-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 (5.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawGainsborough Trinity
60.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.65% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.48% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.52% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.83% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)54.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.48%10.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.78% (0.00099999999999056 0)34.22% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Gainsborough Trinity Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (0.012 0.01)29.38% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.64% (0.012999999999998 0.01)65.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 60.53%
    Gainsborough Trinity 19.83%
    Draw 19.65%
Harrogate TownDrawGainsborough Trinity
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.88% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.41% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.06%
4-0 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.83%
5-0 @ 1.49%
5-2 @ 1.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 60.53%
1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.65%
1-2 @ 5.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 19.83%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Gainsborough

Harrogate Town
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
Gainsborough Trinity
12.5%
40
rhs 2.0
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