Potential new FA Cup header

FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Northolme

Gainsborough
2 - 1
Grantham

Howe (17', 42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Darlington (51')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Gainsborough Trinity and Grantham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gainsborough Trinity

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Gainsborough 2-1 Telford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Grantham Town

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Grantham 1-0 Newark Flowserve
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Grantham Town had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Grantham Town win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gainsborough Trinity in this match.

Result
Gainsborough TrinityDrawGrantham Town
51.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)22.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.28% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 61.12% (0.041999999999994 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)39.02% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.66% (0.025999999999996 0.03)61.34% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Gainsborough Trinity Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)15.44% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.71% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)44.29% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Grantham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.066999999999993 0.07)27.71% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.085999999999999 0.09)63.27% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Gainsborough Trinity 51.12%
    Grantham Town 26.28%
    Draw 22.59%
Gainsborough TrinityDrawGrantham Town
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 6.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 6.58% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.49% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.006 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.28%