Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.