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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Northolme

Gainsborough
2 - 1
Telford

Butroid (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Gainsborough Trinity and AFC Telford United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gainsborough Trinity

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Last Game: Gainsborough 0-1 Boston
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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AFC Telford United

All competitions
Last Game: Telford 2-3 Tamworth
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 50.31%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Gainsborough TrinityDrawAFC Telford United
27.27% (0.009999999999998 0.01)22.42%50.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.66% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)37.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)59.56% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Gainsborough Trinity Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)26.14% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.012 0.01)61.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
AFC Telford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)15.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.32%43.67% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Gainsborough Trinity 27.27%
    AFC Telford United 50.31%
    Draw 22.41%
Gainsborough TrinityDrawAFC Telford United
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 5.3%
2-0 @ 3.56%
3-1 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.27%
1-1 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.41%
1-2 @ 9.46%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 7.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.96%
0-3 @ 4.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.89%
1-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 50.31%