Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 0-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.