Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.