FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Blackwell Meadows

Darlington
1 - 2
Gainsborough

Hatfield (37')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Howe (45'), Butroid (87')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Darlington and Gainsborough Trinity.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darlington 3-0 Southport
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gainsborough 2-1 Grantham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Gainsborough Trinity had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
DarlingtonDrawGainsborough Trinity
46.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)24.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)29.16%
Both teams to score 56.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.42% (0.013000000000005 0.01)45.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.09% (0.012 0.01)67.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.24% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)19.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.2% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.8% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Gainsborough Trinity Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.04% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)64.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Darlington 46.36%
    Gainsborough Trinity 29.16%
    Draw 24.47%
DarlingtonDrawGainsborough Trinity
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 46.36%
1-1 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.81%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 29.16%