FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round Qualifying

Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Northolme

Gainsborough
2 - 2
Boston

Helliwell (28'), Jackson (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hazel (21'), Aderoju (90+8')

Coverage of the FA Cup Fourth Round Qualifying clash between Gainsborough Trinity and Boston United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gainsborough Trinity

Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Gainsborough
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Boston United

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 3-1 Boston
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Boston United win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Gainsborough Trinity	Draw	Boston United
46.82% ( 0.17)	24.58% ( 0.03)	28.6% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.62% (

-0.25)

46.38% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.34% (

-0.23)

68.66% (

0.23)

Gainsborough Trinity Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.11% (

-0.03)

19.89% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.99% (

-0.05)

52.01% (

0.05)

Boston United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

-0.27)

29.85% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

-0.33)

65.94% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Gainsborough Trinity 46.82%

Boston United 28.6%

Draw 24.58%

Gainsborough Trinity	Draw	Boston United
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.82%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.6%