FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Keys Park
Hednesford4 - 4Gainsborough
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Howe (65', 77'), Lancaster (90+4'), Clarke (109')
Cogill (9'), Tuntulwana (55'), Tuntulwana (55'), Helliwell (113')
Cogill (9'), Tuntulwana (55'), Tuntulwana (55'), Helliwell (113')
Gainsborough win 5-4 on penalties
Form, Standings, Stats
We say: Hednesford Town 2-3 Gainsborough Trinity
Both teams defied their place in the league pyramid and own form to upset the odds in the fourth qualifying round, putting them on somewhat of an even platform here. While Hednesford rose to the occasion versus Gateshead, we feel that Gainsborough will prove too strong in attack given their recent exploits on their travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gainsborough Trinity win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Hednesford Town had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gainsborough Trinity win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Hednesford Town win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%).
| Result | ||
| Hednesford Town | Draw | Gainsborough Trinity |
24.55% ( -0.09) | 21.72% ( -0.07) | 53.73% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
