FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays

Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Keys Park

Hednesford
1 - 0
Shifnal Town FC

Trickett-Smith (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Hednesford Town and Shifnal Town FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

Last Game: Shifnal Town FC 0-0 Hednesford
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Shifnal Town FC

Last Game: Shifnal Town FC 0-0 Hednesford
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Shifnal Town FC had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Shifnal Town FC win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hednesford Town would win this match.

Result
Hednesford Town	Draw	Shifnal Town FC
46.6%	24.02%	29.38%

Both teams to score 58.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.59%

43.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.2%

65.8%

Hednesford Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2%

18.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.78%

50.22%

Shifnal Town FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.21%

27.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.62%

63.38%

Score Analysis

Hednesford Town 46.6%

Shifnal Town FC 29.38%

Draw 24.02%

Hednesford Town	Draw	Shifnal Town FC
2-1 @ 9.34% 1-0 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.07% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.36% Total : 46.6%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.02%	1-2 @ 7.16% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.38%