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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Shifnal Town FC
0 - 0
Hednesford

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Shifnal Town FC and Hednesford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shifnal Town FC

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Last Game: Redditch United 0-1 Shifnal Town FC
Monday, September 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Hednesford Town

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Last Game: Hednesford 4-1 Rugby Town
Tuesday, September 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Shifnal Town FC had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.73%) and 0-1 (6.55%). The likeliest Shifnal Town FC win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Shifnal Town FCDrawHednesford Town
25.87% (-3.382 -3.38)21.3% (-0.592 -0.59)52.83% (3.971 3.97)
Both teams to score 65.49% (-0.816 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.89% (0.173 0.17)33.1% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.15% (0.199 0.2)54.84% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Shifnal Town FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12% (-2.094 -2.09)24.87% (2.091 2.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-3.001 -3)59.48% (3 3)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.17% (1.305 1.31)12.82% (-1.307 -1.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.84% (2.62 2.62)39.16% (-2.622 -2.62)
Score Analysis
    Shifnal Town FC 25.87%
    Hednesford Town 52.83%
    Draw 21.3%
Shifnal Town FCDrawHednesford Town
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.55 -0.55)
1-0 @ 4.44% (-0.324 -0.32)
2-0 @ 3.09% (-0.434 -0.43)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.304 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.457 -0.46)
3-0 @ 1.43% (-0.304 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.234 -0.23)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 25.87%
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.3%
1-2 @ 9.36% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.73% (0.564 0.56)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.251 0.25)
1-3 @ 6.41% (0.462 0.46)
0-3 @ 4.61% (0.586 0.59)
2-3 @ 4.46% (0.06 0.06)
1-4 @ 3.29% (0.381 0.38)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.398 0.4)
2-4 @ 2.29% (0.138 0.14)
1-5 @ 1.35% (0.213 0.21)
3-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 0.97% (0.202 0.2)
2-5 @ 0.94% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 52.83%