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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Keys Park

Hednesford
4 - 1
Rugby Town

Stevenson (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Taylor (85')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Hednesford Town and Rugby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hednesford Town

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Last Game: Rugby Town 2-2 Hednesford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Rugby Town

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Last Game: Rugby Town 2-2 Hednesford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Rugby Town has a probability of 36.68% and a draw has a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Rugby Town win is 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.58%).

Result
Hednesford TownDrawRugby Town
39.75% (0.435 0.44)23.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)36.68% (-0.451 -0.45)
Both teams to score 63.04% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.2% (-0.11 -0.11)38.8% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.89% (-0.116 -0.12)61.11% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14% (0.152 0.15)19.86% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (0.246 0.25)51.96% (-0.246 -0.25)
Rugby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (-0.27199999999999 -0.27)21.33% (0.272 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.71% (-0.424 -0.42)54.29% (0.424 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Hednesford Town 39.75%
    Rugby Town 36.68%
    Draw 23.57%
Hednesford TownDrawRugby Town
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.56% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 39.75%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.24% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.06% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.4% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 36.68%

Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Second Round Qualifying
Rugby Town
2-2
Hednesford
Charles (76')
Duku (67')