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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
 

Barton Town Old Boys
0 - 1
Rugby Town

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Barton Town Old Boys and Rugby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barton Town Old Boys

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Last Game: Northampton ON Chenecks 2-3 Barton Town Old Boys
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Rugby Town

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Last Game: Rugby Town 3-0 Stone Old Alleynians
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rugby Town win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Barton Town Old Boys had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rugby Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Barton Town Old Boys win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rugby Town would win this match.

Result
Barton Town Old BoysDrawRugby Town
37.2% (-0.429 -0.43)22.85% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)39.95% (0.521 0.52)
Both teams to score 65.9% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.88% (0.453 0.45)35.12% (-0.455 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.88% (0.502 0.5)57.12% (-0.505 -0.51)
Barton Town Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)19.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.72% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rugby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.8% (0.41799999999999 0.42)18.2% (-0.42 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.79% (0.70999999999999 0.71)49.21% (-0.712 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    Barton Town Old Boys 37.2%
    Rugby Town 39.95%
    Draw 22.85%
Barton Town Old BoysDrawRugby Town
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.075999999999999 -0.08)
1-0 @ 5.8% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.54% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-3 @ 2.14% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.051 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.062 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.038 0.04)
3-4 @ 0.91% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.95%