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FA Cup

FA Cup | Preliminary Round
Aug 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Old Northamptonians Private Sports Ground

Northampton ON Chenecks
2 - 3
Barton Town Old Boys

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Preliminary Round clash between Northampton ON Chenecks and Barton Town Old Boys.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barton Town Old Boys win with a probability of 53.95%. A win for Northampton ON Chenecks had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barton Town Old Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.47%) and 2-3 (5.66%). The likeliest Northampton ON Chenecks win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barton Town Old Boys would win this match.

Result
Northampton ON ChenecksDrawBarton Town Old Boys
27.04%19.01%53.95%
Both teams to score 75.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.36%20.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
61%39%
Northampton ON Chenecks Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64%17.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24%47.76%
Barton Town Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.61%8.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.82%29.18%
Score Analysis
    Northampton ON Chenecks 27.04%
    Barton Town Old Boys 53.95%
    Draw 19.01%
Northampton ON ChenecksDrawBarton Town Old Boys
2-1 @ 5.53%
3-2 @ 4%
3-1 @ 3.23%
1-0 @ 2.55%
2-0 @ 2.23%
4-2 @ 1.75%
4-3 @ 1.45%
4-1 @ 1.41%
3-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 27.04%
2-2 @ 6.86%
1-1 @ 6.32%
3-3 @ 3.31%
0-0 @ 1.46%
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 19.01%
1-2 @ 7.83%
1-3 @ 6.47%
2-3 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-4 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.7%
0-1 @ 3.61%
2-4 @ 3.51%
0-4 @ 2.29%
3-4 @ 2.05%
1-5 @ 1.99%
2-5 @ 1.74%
0-5 @ 1.14%
3-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 53.95%