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FA Cup

FA Cup | Extra Preliminary Round
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Townsend Meadow

Racing Club Warwick
1 - 4
Hednesford

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup Extra Preliminary Round clash between Racing Club Warwick and Hednesford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club Warwick

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Hednesford Town

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Last Game: Hednesford 1-2 Crawley
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Racing Club Warwick had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.19%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Racing Club Warwick win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hednesford Town would win this match.

Result
Racing Club WarwickDrawHednesford Town
28.69% (0.426 0.43)21.09% (0.123 0.12)50.21% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 68.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.29% (-0.29899999999999 -0.3)29.7% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.16% (-0.362 -0.36)50.83% (0.359 0.36)
Racing Club Warwick Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (0.096999999999994 0.1)21.29% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.77% (0.152 0.15)54.23% (-0.155 -0.16)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (-0.268 -0.27)12.42% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.67% (-0.56 -0.56)38.33% (0.558 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club Warwick 28.69%
    Hednesford Town 50.21%
    Draw 21.09%
Racing Club WarwickDrawHednesford Town
2-1 @ 6.6% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 4.09% (0.081 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.16% (0.072 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.63% (0.042 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.025 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.69%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.88% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.65% (0.045 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.09%
1-2 @ 8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.19% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.52% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.79% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.23% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.5% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.09% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.35% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 50.21%

Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Racing Club Warwick
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Hednesford 1-2 Crawley