FA Cup
Melton Town vs Hednesford Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Melton Town had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Melton Town win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hednesford Town would win this match.
Result
Melton Town
29.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
21.46%
▼
(-0.01)
Hednesford Town
48.88%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
68.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.14%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
30.86%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 3.5
47.78%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
52.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
28.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
71.27%
▼
(-0.01)
Melton Town Goals
Over 0.5
78.67%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
21.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
45.72%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
54.28%
▼
(-0.02)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5
86.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
13.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
59.99%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
40.01%
Score analysis
Melton Town
29.65%
Draw
21.46%
Hednesford Town
48.88%
Melton Town
2-1
@
6.82%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 29.65%
1-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 29.65%
Draw
1-1
@
8.82%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.46%
2-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.46%
Hednesford Town
1-2
@
8.92%
▼
(-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.64%
0-3 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.04%
2-4 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23%
3-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 48.88%
1-3 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.64%
0-3 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 3.04%
2-4 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23%
3-4 @ 1.21%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 48.88%