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FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Sign Right Park

Melton Town
1 - 6
Hednesford

FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Melton Town and Hednesford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melton Town

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Last Game: Goole 2-3 Melton Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Hednesford Town

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Last Game: Hednesford 1-0 Worcester Raiders
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hednesford Town win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Melton Town had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hednesford Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.01%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Melton Town win was 2-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hednesford Town would win this match.

Result
Melton TownDrawHednesford Town
29.65% (0.010999999999999 0.01)21.46% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.88% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Both teams to score 68.26% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.14% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.86% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.78% (0.011000000000003 0.01)52.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Melton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.32% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)54.28% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Hednesford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.76% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)40.01%
Score Analysis
    Melton Town 29.65%
    Hednesford Town 48.88%
    Draw 21.46%
Melton TownDrawHednesford Town
2-1 @ 6.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.65%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.46%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 4.64%
0-3 @ 3.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 3.04%
2-4 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.97% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.23%
3-4 @ 1.21%
2-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 48.88%

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