Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melton Town win with a probability of 65.6%. A win for Harrowby United had a probability of 17.45% and a draw had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melton Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Harrowby United win was 1-2 (4.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melton Town would win this match.