/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fstolog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
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Ashley Famiwuya
38'
-
Junior Tchamadeu
45'+2'
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Ben Wilmot
51'
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Tom Cannon
60'
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Joel Piroe
42'
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Joel Piroe
63'
Stoke City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F52%2Fdaniel-farke.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result
Stoke City
21.72%
▼
(-0.06)
Draw
22.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Leeds United
55.85%
▲
(+0.05)
Both Teams to Score:
56.2%
▼
(-0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
56.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 2.5
43.03%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
34.56%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
65.43%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
17.94%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
82.05%
▲
(+0.06)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5
66.32%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
33.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
29.67%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
70.32%
▲
(+0.10)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
84.74%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
15.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
56.05%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
43.95%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Stoke City
21.72%
Draw
22.42%
Leeds United
55.85%
Stoke City
2-1
@
5.72%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.72%
1-0 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 21.72%
Draw
1-1
@
10.51%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.42%
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.42%
Leeds United
1-2
@
9.88%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.85%
0-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.37% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.85%
Ben Pearson
86'