Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 2
Leeds

Famiwuya (38'), Tchamadeu (45+2'), Wilmot (51'), Cannon (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Piroe (42', 63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Stoke
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.66%) and 0-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Stoke City win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Leeds United
21.72% ( -0.05)	22.43% ( 0)	55.85% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 56.2% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.96% (

-0.08)

43.03% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.56% (

-0.08)

65.43% (

0.08)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

-0.09)

33.67% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67% (

-0.1)

70.32% (

0.1)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.74% (

-0.01)

15.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.05% (

-0.02)

43.95% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 21.72%

Leeds United 55.85%

Draw 22.42%

Stoke City	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 21.72%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 55.85%