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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Watford had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Watford |
| 61.33% ( | 21.35% ( | 17.31% |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( | 44.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( | 14.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.34% ( | 41.65% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.71% ( | 39.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.01% ( | 75.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.83% ( 2-0 @ 10.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 6.49% 4-0 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.34% 5-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.79% Total : 61.31% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.35% | 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0-2 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.31% |