Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 3, 2025 at 8pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
2 - 3
Sunderland

Burgzorg (11'), Hackney (59')
Morris (20'), Burgzorg (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Neill (33'), Isidor (51'), Giles (87' og.)
O'Nien (45'), Bellingham (63'), Poveda (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Preston 2-1 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Sunderland
42.99% ( 0.92)	26.62% ( -0.27)	30.39% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 50.7% (

0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

0.8)

54.01% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

0.67)

75.45% (

-0.67)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.1% (

0.84)

24.9% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47% (

1.15)

59.52% (

-1.15)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.06)

32.49% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

-0.06)

69.02% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 42.98%

Sunderland 30.39%

Draw 26.62%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.98%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.39%