Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.