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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Burnley |
| 46.56% ( | 26.27% ( | 27.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.81% ( | 54.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.4% ( | 75.59% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( | 23.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( | 57.16% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.96% ( | 35.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.21% ( | 71.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.81% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 12.46% ( 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0-2 @ 4.48% ( 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.17% |