Championship Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • George Edmundson 2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Cullen 54'
  • yellowcard Connor Roberts 83'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 86'

Middlesbrough vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 3 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Tommy Conway

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
Sheff Utd 0 - 2 Burnley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Josh Brownhill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Middlesbrough 46.56% (-0.33)
Draw 26.27% (+0.11)
Burnley 27.17% (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.86% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.81% (-0.30)
Under 2.5 54.18% (+0.30)
Over 3.5 24.4% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 75.59% (+0.25)
Over 4.5 10.98% (-0.16)
Under 4.5 89.01% (+0.16)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 76.75% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 23.25% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 42.84% (-0.41)
Under 1.5 57.16% (+0.41)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 64.96% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.21% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.79% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 46.56%
Draw 26.27%
Burnley 27.17%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.88% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.15% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.27%
Burnley
0-1 @ 8.54% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.54% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.48% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.28% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.17%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 19
Dec 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Turf Moor
  • Connor Roberts 37' goal
  • Hannibal Mejbri 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Anfernee Dijksteel 13'
Championship Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Chuba Akpom 48' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 12'
  • goal Connor Roberts 66'
Championship Gameweek 23
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Manuel Benson 60' goal
  • Manuel Benson 67' goal
  • Jonny Howson 72' goal
  • goal Duncan Watmore 49'
Premier League
Apr 8, 2017 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Stephen Ward 45'
  • yellowcard Ashley Barnes 45'
  • yellowcard Michael Keane 85'
Premier League
Dec 26, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Boyd 21' yellowcard
  • Ben Mee 42' yellowcard
  • Jon Flanagan 54' yellowcard
  • Stephen Ward 66' yellowcard
  • Andre Gray 73' yellowcard
  • Andre Gray 80' goal
  • Jeff Hendrick 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marten de Roon 2'
  • yellowcard Gaston Ramirez 31'
  • yellowcard Antonio Barragan 45'
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 80'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Negredo 90'
Championship
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dean Marney 25' yellowcard
  • Michael Keane 93' goal
  • yellowcard Grant Leadbitter 3'
  • yellowcard Adam Clayton 54'
  • goal Jordan Rhodes 69'