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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Burnley logo

Middlesbrough
0 - 0
Burnley


Edmundson (2')
FT

Cullen (54'), Roberts (83'), Koleosho (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-3 Sheff Weds
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-2 Burnley
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
46.56% (-0.326 -0.33)26.27% (0.11 0.11)27.17% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (-0.294 -0.29)54.18% (0.296 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (-0.248 -0.25)75.59% (0.25 0.25)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.276 -0.28)23.25% (0.279 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.406 -0.41)57.16% (0.409 0.41)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)35.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.21% (0.018999999999998 0.02)71.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.56%
    Burnley 27.17%
    Draw 26.27%
MiddlesbroughDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 46.56%
1-1 @ 12.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.103 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.48% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 27.17%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Burnley

Middlesbrough
35.9%
Draw
25.6%
Burnley
38.5%
78
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Burnley
1-1
Middlesbrough
Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')
Dijksteel (13')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 40
Middlesbrough
1-2
Burnley
Akpom (48' pen.)
Barnes (12'), Roberts (66')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Burnley
3-1
Middlesbrough
Benson (60', 67'), Howson (72' og.)
Watmore (49')
Apr 8, 2017 3pm
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Burnley
1-0
Middlesbrough
Gray (80')
Boyd (21'), Mee (42'), Flanagan (54'), Ward (66'), Gray (73'), Hendrick (85')

de Roon (2'), Ramirez (31'), Barragan (45'), Da Silva (80'), Negredo (90')