Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 1
Sunderland

Harness (51')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mayenda (28')
Bellingham (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Derby 0-2 Watford
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Sunderland
Friday, January 17 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Sunderland
37.72% ( 0.11)	27.17% ( -0.08)	35.11% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.31% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.9% (

0.3)

55.09% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.65% (

0.25)

76.35% (

-0.25)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

0.2)

28.27% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.01% (

0.26)

63.99% (

-0.26)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.15% (

0.13)

29.85% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

0.16)

65.94% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Derby County 37.72%

Sunderland 35.11%

Draw 27.16%

Derby County	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 10.66% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 37.72%	1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.11%