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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sunderland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
59.68% (![]() | 22.54% (![]() | 17.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.01% (![]() | 48.99% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.93% (![]() | 71.07% (![]() |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.97% (![]() | 16.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.62% (![]() | 45.38% (![]() |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.72% (![]() | 41.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.19% (![]() | 77.81% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 12.11% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.08% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.77% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.08% Total : 59.67% | 1-1 @ 10.71% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.53% | 0-1 @ 5.86% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 1.91% Total : 17.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 76 | 25 | 51 | 80 |
2 | Burnley | 38 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 52 | 11 | 41 | 78 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 77 |
4 | Sunderland | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 69 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 59 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 |
7 | Bristol City | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 57 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 54 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 52 |
10 | Watford | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 |
11 | Millwall | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 51 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 49 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 |
15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
17 | Portsmouth | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 42 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 42 |
19 | Hull City | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 39 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 33 |
> Championship Full Table |