Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
1 - 0
Sunderland

Cannon (90+2')
Phillips (16'), Gooch (21'), Moran (27'), Johansson (43'), Cannon (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cirkin (51'), Bellingham (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Leeds
Thursday, December 26 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 2-2 Sunderland
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
31.5% ( -4.89)	26.42% ( 0.12)	42.08% ( 4.78)

Both teams to score 51.81% (

-1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.19% (

-1.34)

52.8% (

1.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.57% (

-1.15)

74.43% (

1.16)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.92% (

-3.77)

31.08% (

3.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.59% (

-4.64)

67.4% (

4.64)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.17% (

1.96)

24.83% (

-1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.58% (

2.66)

59.41% (

-2.66)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 31.5%

Sunderland 42.08%

Draw 26.42%

Stoke City	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.78) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.89) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.65) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.61) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.32) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.5%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 10.75% ( 1.11) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.51) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 1.14) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.45) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.69) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.23) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.08%