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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 56.53% ( | 24.37% ( | 19.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.71% ( | 54.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.32% ( | 75.67% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.91% ( | 19.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.3% ( | 50.69% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.16% ( | 42.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.84% ( | 79.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% 2-0 @ 11.21% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 3-0 @ 6.19% ( 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.95% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.36% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.94% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.85% Total : 19.09% |