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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 44.88% ( | 26.33% ( | 28.79% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.46% ( | 53.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.95% ( | 75.05% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.23% ( | 23.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( | 57.91% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.57% ( | 33.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.95% ( | 70.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.73% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 2-2 @ 4.93% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.5% ( 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.79% |